Here is the impact of Match 38 (RCB vs MI) on RCB's chances of making it to
semis:
In a nutshell, if MI wins:
1. No impact on KKR - it will not make it anyway
2. RCB's chances of making it to semis slips to 22%
3. MI will improve to 34%
4. KXI will have a chance of 56%
5. RR will move to 70%
6. DC will improve to 68%
7. CSK will be at a comfortable 94%
8. DD will be at 93%
On the other hand, if RCB wins:
1. No impact on KKR - it will not make it anyway
2. RCB's chances of making it to semis improves to 55%
3. MI will slip to a dangerous 8%
4. KXI will move marginally to 54%
5. RR will have minimal impact and will be at 68%
6. DC will be at 66%
7. CSK will continue to be comfortable at 93%
8. DD will continue to top at 95%
Gives an idea to all how important this match is for RCB
Cheers
Raghu
This blog is a loose assembly of some of the posts I had contributed to RCB website with the username "Observer" during IPL2. The posts were mainly about a "predictive analytical model" I had developed to forecast the semifinalists of IPL2 from Match 29 onwards. Unfortunately the posts have now been removed due to a revamp of RCB website. I have tried to recreate some of the posts based on my model "just to give a flavor of what it was all about". You may see more in IPL3.
Saturday, September 26, 2009
IPL2 - RCB Fan Club - Impact of Match 38 on RCB's Chances
Posted by Raghu at 12:08 PM
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